Rock glacier inventory and predictive modeling in the Mackenzie Mountains: predicting rock glacier likelihood with a generalized additive model

dc.contributor.authorThiessen, Rabecca
dc.contributor.authorBonnaventure, Philip
dc.contributor.authorLapalme, Caitlin M.
dc.date.accessioned2025-06-06T22:17:48Z
dc.date.available2025-06-06T22:17:48Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.descriptionOpen access article. Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International licence (CC BY 4.0) applies.
dc.description.abstractRock glaciers have been the subject of extensive research in recent years due to their potential to serve as indicators of past and present climate conditions and their potential impacts on water resources. Location and descriptive rock glacier data within the Mackenzie Mountains were used to build a rock glacier inventory that will serve as a valuable resource for future research and monitoring efforts. Additionally, this study maps the likelihood of rock glacier presence using extracted variables in a generalized additive model (GAM). The model incorporates attribute data, including potential incoming solar radiation (PISR), topographic position index (TPI), slope, elevation, and lithology as controls for rock glacier development. Topographic data were compiled for three study regions of the Mackenzie Mountains from a 30 m digital elevation model (DEM). The analysis of the GAM showed that the most significant explanatory variables were PISR, elevation, slope, and TPI. The GAM model had an accuracy of 0.87 with a sensitivity of 0.92. This study provides important insights into the controls, distribution, and dynamics of rock glaciers in the Mackenzie Mountains, as well as both the limitations and the potential of statistical models in predicting their occurrence.
dc.description.peer-reviewYes
dc.identifier.citationThiessen, R., Bonnaventure, P. P., & Lapalme, C. M. (2024). Rock glacier inventory and predictive modeling in the Mackenzie Mountains: Predicting rock glacier likelihood with a generalized additive model. Arctic Science, 10(4), 653-672. https://doi.org/10.1139/as-2023-0065
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10133/7050
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherCanadian Science Publishing
dc.publisher.departmentDepartment of Geography and Environment
dc.publisher.facultyArts and Science
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Lethbridge
dc.publisher.institutionQueen's University
dc.publisher.urlhttps://doi.org/10.1139/as-2023-0065
dc.subjectRock glacier
dc.subjectPermafrost
dc.subjectMackenzie Mountains
dc.subjectGeneralized additive model
dc.subject.lcshRock glaciers--Canada
dc.subject.lcshMackenzie Mountains (N.W.T. and Yukon)
dc.titleRock glacier inventory and predictive modeling in the Mackenzie Mountains: predicting rock glacier likelihood with a generalized additive model
dc.typeArticle
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